Signals ⚽ · My team

Chelsea

SHRINE OF THE WEEK

”I am European champion. I am not one out of the bottle. I think I am a special one.”

José Mourinho, unveiling at Stamford Bridge 2.6.2004

THE SQUAD

GKPenders

DEFAcheampong

DEFLacroix

DEFColwill

MIDNeto

MIDCaicedo

MIDHenderson

DEFHato

MIDPalmer

MIDQuenda

MIDRogers

● season 2026-27 · latest formation · round 8

fitness concernformno measured deviation

No measured deviations in the core squad right now.

Bench

MIDEstêvãoDEFPalestraMIDNicoll-Jazuli

NEXT CHECK

LAST MATCH

Chelsea – Tottenham 0–2 (puoliaika 0–0) ● result: round data

Sat 24 Oct

PREVIEW IN HINDSIGHT

No preview was published before this match. The preview below was built after the match from pre-match data only (the same read would have been produced beforehand) and graded against what happened.

Starting shape on the team sheet 3-4-2-1, in the previous match 4-2-3-1. The team sheet does not show the in-game shape, such as a back five without the ball. ● team sheet

Watch first: Pressure vs the defence. Chelsea shoot this season 14.3 times per match (10th in the league, last season 13.4 and 6th in the league), Tottenham: 14.3 shots conceded (league 12.). The match's shot count tells which number held. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · last season for comparison
What happened: the defence won: 7 shots (baseline 14.3, opponent concedes 14.3). ● round data
Then watch: Finishing vs the goalkeeper. Chelsea score this season from 17.0 percent of their shots (3rd in the league, last season 11.3 and 7th in the league), Tottenham: save percentage on shots on target 61.5 (league 15.). In the match this shows in whether the goal count matches the threat created. ●
What happened: goalkeeping and finishing beat the team: 0 goals from 0.55 expected (-0.55), 0 % of shots scored. ●
Third: Set pieces. Chelsea win this season 5.9 corners per match (4th in the league, last season 6.1 and 4th in the league), Tottenham: 4.4 corners conceded (league 11.). The expectation is at least 4 corners. ●
What happened: fell short of expectation: 4 corners (expected 4), 0 goals. ●
Fourth: The duels carry. 54 % of duels won (351/645), league 1./20 ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics
What happened: observation did not repeat, 42 % of duels won. ●
One more: Goalkeeper level on show. 30 saves (league 1./20) against 1.58 xG ●
What happened: observation did not repeat, 3 saves. ●
Finally: Player pick. João Pedro is the team's best in the match ratings this season: 34.3 points on average in 6 matches, top three 4 times. ● season 2026-27 · match ratings before the round
What happened: Player pick did not hold: João Pedro did not play in this match (not in the match ratings, which cover everyone who played). ●

From this match: 0/6 held

Threat by half (expected goals, gold = Chelsea): shots 4/7 and 3/8 Two-half split, not a minute-by-minute curve.

Events by minute: Chelsea on top, Tottenham below, 2 goals and 8 cards. Vertical lines at minutes 45 and 90. ● match events

Result read from round data ●. Hits and misses are logged in the track record.

This match's verdict on the Matches list →

NEXT MATCH

Chelsea – Man Utd

Sat 31.10. · 14:30 · ○ fixture info, as of 25.10.

This match's preview on the Matches list →

PREVIEW READING

These claims are graded against the outcome after the match.

Pressure against defence: Chelsea shoot this season 14.3 times per match (10th in the league, last season 13.4 and 6th in the league), Man Utd: 11.0 shots conceded (league 4.). The match's shot count tells which number held. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · last season for comparison

Finishing against the goalkeeper: Chelsea score this season from 17.0 percent of their shots (3rd in the league, last season 11.3 and 7th in the league), Man Utd: save percentage on shots on target 67.7 (league 9.). In the match this shows in whether the goal count matches the threat created. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · last season for comparison

Set pieces: Chelsea win this season 5.9 corners per match (4th in the league, last season 6.1 and 4th in the league), Man Utd: 3.6 corners conceded (league 20.). The expectation is at least 4 corners. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · last season for comparison

The duels carry: 53 % of duels won (397/755), league 2./20 ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · match statistics

Goalkeeper level on show: 33 saves (league 1./20) against 1.48 xG ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · match statistics

Baseline per match from last season: upper bar Chelsea, lower Man Utd, vertical line the league level. ● measured 2025-26

The watch-list is published. The opponent card fills in about two days before kick-off.

MANAGER'S CORNER · FANTASY

Player card

João Pedro

Chelsea · forward

Downward trend expected

Last 5 matches: 6 goals and assists from only 2.7 xGI ●

In 576 similar past cases, the scoring pace slowed for 86 % within the next 3 matches (when xGI backed the pace, 77 %) ●

xGI per round ●

Match rating 1–10 ▷ 7.0

Next matches ●MUNhome

Compared with 22 forwards, at least 270 min ●

xG / 90 min0.53

xA / 90 min0.05

Match rating (avg) ▷7.6

Playing time72 %

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–8521 min · 6/8 starts · 5 goals, 3 assists · xGI 3.4 ● measured

▷ in 73.3 % of teams · price 7.9

Player card

Morgan Rogers

Chelsea · midfielder

Rebound expected

xGI per 90 min: 0.30 in the last 3 matches, 0.66 before ●

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●MUNhome

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–8700 min · 8/8 starts · 4 goals, 1 assists · xGI 3.5 ● measured

▷ in 49.9 % of teams · price 8.0

Player card

Pedro Neto

Chelsea · midfielder

Rising

Match rating 6.2 → 7.6 · xGI/90 0.15 → 0.36 ▷

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●MUNhome

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–8591 min · 7/8 starts · 3 goals, 1 assists · xGI 2.3 ● measured

▷ in 3.7 % of teams · price 6.6

Player card

Reece James

Chelsea · defender

Sidelined

injured · 0 % · knee injury · return date unknown ▷

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●MUNhome

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–8292 min · 3/8 starts · 0 goals, 0 assists · xGI 0.6 ● measured

▷ in 3.8 % of teams · price 5.2

Every player in the league, form and risks → All players

TEAM BASELINE

Chelsea

now 5th in the table · 13 pts ●

last season 10th · 4th on merit

→railo -6

Playing identity now Chelsea: this season's profile does not stand out at the league's extremes. Last season: build their attacks patiently; keep the ball and build through possession. ● season 2026-27 · 8 matches · match stats: possession, passes, shots, offsides

What has changed?

Squad after the summer

Left after the 2025-26 season: Enzo (3114 min, goals+assists 10+5, 18 % of the team's goals, now Man City); Cucurella (2706 min, goals+assists 1+4, 2 % of the team's goals, no longer in a league squad); Garnacho (1261 min, goals+assists 1+4, 2 % of the team's goals, now Aston Villa); Andrey Santos (1247 min, goals+assists 1+0, 2 % of the team's goals, now Man Utd) and 1 more.

New starters: Morgan Rogers (8 starts, came from Aston Villa); Maxence Lacroix (7 starts, came from Crystal Palace); Martinez (6 starts, came from Aston Villa); Jordan Henderson (4 starts, came from Brentford) and 4 more.

● season 2025-26 minutes, goals and assists · current squad and starts

Duels have gone the team's way: 54 % of duels won (43/79) (Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton).

Signal hypothesis · strengthening · 8 matches

Duels appear to carry this team's game.

+ Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 54 % of duels won (43/79)

− Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 51 % of duels won (43/85)

Next test Will the duel-win rate stay above half even against a possession-dominant opponent?

Other tracked hypotheses (6)

Hypothesis 2 · Own box State · strengthening · 8 matches

Opponents appear to get into the box too easily.

Supports

+ Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 13 shots against from inside the box (16 in total)

+ Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 13 shots against from inside the box (15 in total)

+ Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: 9 shots against from inside the box (13 in total)

+ Sat 24.10. home vs Tottenham: 8 shots against from inside the box (15 in total)

+ Sat 12.9. home vs Hull City: 9 shots against from inside the box (14 in total)

Challenges

− Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 7 shots against from inside the box (14 in total)

− Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: 6 shots against from inside the box (6 in total)

− Sat 10.10. home vs Bournemouth: 6 shots against from inside the box (9 in total)

Does not stand out in close periods: 67 % of opponents' shots from inside the box, league 11/20 (12 periods). The game state explains the number at least in part. ● close period = margin of at most 1 goal for at least 75 % of the period's minutes · match stats by half

Last season 10.9 shots against in the match (no box split) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will shots conceded inside the box fall below eight?

Hypothesis 3 · Box pressure State · strengthening · 4 matches

The team appears to get into the box repeatedly.

Supports

+ Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 15/17 shots from inside the box

+ Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: 8/12 shots from inside the box

+ Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 13/18 shots from inside the box

+ Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: 10/18 shots from inside the box

Challenges

No counter-evidence yet.

Last season 13.4 shots in the match (no box split from last season, so the comparison is shot count) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will shots in the box stay above eight when the opponent defends deeper?

Hypothesis 4 · Goalkeeper State · mixed · 8 matches

The goalkeeper's level may prove the difference for this team.

Supports

+ Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 8 saves

+ Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 4 saves

+ Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 4 saves

+ Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: 5 saves

Challenges

− Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: 3 saves

− Sat 24.10. home vs Tottenham: 3 saves

− Sat 12.9. home vs Hull City: 3 saves

− Sat 10.10. home vs Bournemouth: 3 saves

Last season 67 % of shots on target kept out (52 conceded / 156) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the shot-stopping level hold when shot quality changes?

Hypothesis 5 · Discipline State · mixed · 8 matches

The cost of indiscipline may rise.

Supports

+ Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 4 cards, 16 fouls

+ Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 3 cards, 7 fouls

+ Sat 24.10. home vs Tottenham: 3 cards, 14 fouls

+ Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: 4 cards, 15 fouls

Challenges

− Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 1 cards, 6 fouls

− Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: 0 cards, 7 fouls

− Sat 12.9. home vs Hull City: 1 cards, 7 fouls

− Sat 10.10. home vs Bournemouth: 0 cards, 7 fouls

Last season 2.5 cards and 11.2 fouls in the match ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will cards add up to suspensions, or fouls to goals conceded?

Hypothesis 6 · Defensive line State · mixed · 4 matches

The defence appears to hold a high line.

Supports

+ Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 3 offsides won

+ Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: 4 offsides won

Challenges

− Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 0 offsides won

− Sat 10.10. home vs Bournemouth: 0 offsides won

Next test Will the offside trap keep working even against a more direct opponent?

Hypothesis 7 · Threat by half Status · new · 1 match

The threat appears weighted towards the second half.

Supports

+ Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: own threat 0.55 → 1.04 xG, opponents 0.36 → 0.18

Challenges

No counter-evidence yet.

Last season 55 % of goals came in the second half (32 / 58) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the threat still grow from first half to second in a competitive match?

Show 70 findings

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Finishing − 1 goals from 0.39 expected (+0.61)

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Goalkeeper + 8 saves

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Shooting accuracy − 5/13 shots on target (38 %)

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Defensive line + 3 offsides won

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Discipline + 4 cards, 16 fouls

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Duels − 51 % of duels won (43/85)

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Possession and duels − possession 45 %, duels 51 %

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Set pieces − 3 corners, 5 conceded

Sun 6 Sep away vs Arsenal · Own box + 13 shots against from inside the box (16 in total)

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Finishing − 4 goals from 2.97 expected (+1.03)

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Goalkeeper + 4 saves

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Shooting accuracy − 6/17 shots on target (35 %)

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Discipline − 1 cards, 6 fouls

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Duels + 54 % of duels won (43/79)

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Possession and duels − possession 26 %, duels 54 %

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Set pieces − 4 corners, 7 conceded

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Own box + 13 shots against from inside the box (15 in total)

Sun 30 Aug home vs Brighton · Box pressure + 15/17 shots from inside the box

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Finishing + 0 goals from 0.83 expected (-0.83)

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Shooting accuracy + 2/12 shots on target (17 %)

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Discipline − 0 cards, 7 fouls

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Duels + 57 % of duels won (55/96)

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Possession and duels − possession 60 %, duels 57 %

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Set pieces + 12 corners, 4 conceded

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Own box + 9 shots against from inside the box (13 in total)

Fri 18 Sep away vs Brentford · Box pressure + 8/12 shots from inside the box

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Finishing − 3 goals from 1.70 expected (+1.30)

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Goalkeeper + 4 saves

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Shooting accuracy − 6/18 shots on target (33 %)

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Defensive line − 0 offsides won

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Discipline + 3 cards, 7 fouls

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Duels + 53 % of duels won (55/103)

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Possession and duels − possession 39 %, duels 53 %

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Set pieces − 4 corners, 6 conceded

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Own box − 7 shots against from inside the box (14 in total)

Mon 24 Aug away vs Fulham · Box pressure + 13/18 shots from inside the box

Sat 24 Oct home vs Tottenham · Finishing + 0 goals from 0.55 expected (-0.55)

Sat 24 Oct home vs Tottenham · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Sat 24 Oct home vs Tottenham · Shooting accuracy − 4/7 shots on target (57 %)

Sat 24 Oct home vs Tottenham · Discipline + 3 cards, 14 fouls

Sat 24 Oct home vs Tottenham · Duels − 42 % of duels won (46/110)

Sat 24 Oct home vs Tottenham · Possession and duels − possession 32 %, duels 42 %

Sat 24 Oct home vs Tottenham · Own box + 8 shots against from inside the box (15 in total)

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Threat by half + own threat 0.55 → 1.04 xG, opponents 0.36 → 0.18

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Goalkeeper + 5 saves

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Shooting accuracy − 7/18 shots on target (39 %)

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Defensive line + 4 offsides won

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Discipline + 4 cards, 15 fouls

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Duels + 57 % of duels won (51/90)

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Possession and duels − possession 53 %, duels 57 %

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Set pieces − 7 corners, 5 conceded

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Own box − 6 shots against from inside the box (6 in total)

Sat 17 Oct away vs Everton · Box pressure + 10/18 shots from inside the box

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Finishing − 2 goals from 0.91 expected (+1.09)

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Shooting accuracy − 7/12 shots on target (58 %)

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Discipline − 1 cards, 7 fouls

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Duels + 53 % of duels won (47/88)

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Possession and duels − possession 68 %, duels 53 %

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Set pieces − 10 corners, 4 conceded

Sat 12 Sep home vs Hull City · Own box + 9 shots against from inside the box (14 in total)

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Finishing − 5 goals from 1.16 expected (+3.84)

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Shooting accuracy − 6/10 shots on target (60 %)

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Defensive line − 0 offsides won

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Discipline − 0 cards, 7 fouls

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Duels + 55 % of duels won (57/104)

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Possession and duels − possession 40 %, duels 55 %

Sat 10 Oct home vs Bournemouth · Own box − 6 shots against from inside the box (9 in total)

A finding is one measured item from one match. A + mark supports the pattern, a − challenges it.

Suljetut hypoteesit (4)

What is closed is not deleted: it shows what we thought and why the view changed.

Hypothesis 1 · Finishing State · closed · 7 matches

Goal output may keep falling short of the chances created.

Supports

+ Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: 0 goals from 0.83 expected (-0.83)

+ Sat 24.10. home vs Tottenham: 0 goals from 0.55 expected (-0.55)

Challenges

− Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 1 goals from 0.39 expected (+0.61)

− Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 4 goals from 2.97 expected (+1.03)

− Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 3 goals from 1.70 expected (+1.30)

− Sat 12.9. home vs Hull City: 2 goals from 0.91 expected (+1.09)

− Sat 10.10. home vs Bournemouth: 5 goals from 1.16 expected (+3.84)

Last season 1.5 goals and 13.4 shots in the match, 11 % of shots scored ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the goal count move closer to the expected number in the next match?

Hypothesis 2 · Set pieces State · closed · 6 matches

Set pieces may keep coming to nothing.

Supports

+ Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: 12 corners, 4 conceded

Challenges

− Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 3 corners, 5 conceded

− Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 4 corners, 7 conceded

− Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 4 corners, 6 conceded

− Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: 7 corners, 5 conceded

− Sat 12.9. home vs Hull City: 10 corners, 4 conceded

Holds up across game states: in close periods 3.3 corners per 45 min, league 2/20 (12 periods). ● close period = margin of at most 1 goal for at least 75 % of the period's minutes · match stats by half

▷ Sources: BBC Sport, The Sun, football.london · 3 riippumatonta

Last season 6.1 corners in the match, 4.3 against ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will a corner or free kick produce a goal in the coming rounds?

Hypothesis 3 · Shooting accuracy State · closed · 8 matches

Shots don't appear to hit the target often enough.

Supports

+ Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: 2/12 shots on target (17 %)

Challenges

− Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: 5/13 shots on target (38 %)

− Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: 6/17 shots on target (35 %)

− Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: 6/18 shots on target (33 %)

− Sat 24.10. home vs Tottenham: 4/7 shots on target (57 %)

− Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: 7/18 shots on target (39 %)

− Sat 12.9. home vs Hull City: 7/12 shots on target (58 %)

− Sat 10.10. home vs Bournemouth: 6/10 shots on target (60 %)

Last season 32 % of shots on target (164 / 511) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the share of shots on target rise above a third?

Hypothesis 4 · Possession and duels State · closed · 8 matches

Possession may not be matched by duel wins.

Supports

No longer backed by the evidence.

Challenges

− Sun 6.9. away vs Arsenal: possession 45 %, duels 51 %

− Sun 30.8. home vs Brighton: possession 26 %, duels 54 %

− Fri 18.9. away vs Brentford: possession 60 %, duels 57 %

− Mon 24.8. away vs Fulham: possession 39 %, duels 53 %

− Sat 24.10. home vs Tottenham: possession 32 %, duels 42 %

− Sat 17.10. away vs Everton: possession 53 %, duels 57 %

− Sat 12.9. home vs Hull City: possession 68 %, duels 53 %

− Sat 10.10. home vs Bournemouth: possession 40 %, duels 55 %

Next test Will the duel balance flip when the opponent presses higher?

● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · match statistics

Measured numbers for the season

Style of play · season 2026-27

Line: line mid-table: 11 offsides drawn; box open: 70 % of shots conceded came from inside the box ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · offsides and shot locations

Progression: progression mid-table: 31.1 passes per shot, possession 45 % ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · passes and shots

Set pieces: in attack 45 corners (league 7./20), no headed goals yet; in defence 44 corners against (4./20), no headed goals conceded ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · corners and goal types

Second half: output weighted to the opening half (9+8 goals); own end leaks late (concessions 5+10); own threat rose in the second half in 6 of 8 matches (median +0.07 xG, league +0.15); game state explains the difference; opponents' threat rose in the second half in 4 of 8 matches (median +0.18 xG, league +0.15); first substitution on average at minute 65 ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · goals and substitutions by minute

When leading: withstood the pressure: led at half-time 3 times and won, although the opponent's threat grew (opponent xG in matches where they led 1.87 → 2.57) ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · threat by half

Game state: Leading 46 % of playing time, level 38 %, trailing 16 %. League rank 2 for time leading, so the season numbers lean towards play with a lead. ● minutes from goal events · ○ interpretation

Threat by half, average of 8 matches (gold = Chelsea): own threat rose in the second half in 6 of 8 matches, median +0.07 xG (league +0.15). Two-half split, not a minute curve.

Tracking · season 2026-27

The duels carry: 53 % of duels won (397/755), league 2./20 ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · match statistics
We track whether the duel wins hold as opponents change their approach.

Goalkeeper level on show: 33 saves (league 1./20) against 1.48 xG ● season 2026-27 · from 8 match(es) · match statistics
We track whether the save level holds as shot quality changes: one match cannot separate skill from luck.

One round is not a trend, so each line says what we track next.

Last season's baseline

The baseline is the 2025-26 squad. Since then these players left: Enzo, Cucurella, Garnacho, Andrey Santos. ● season 2025-26 minutes · current squad

Analyst's take

Chelsea sijoittui 10:nneksi, vaikka ansiotaso vastasi 4. sijaa.

The gap showed in finishing too: 8.8 fewer goals than expected.

Insights

Reece James produced exceptionally for a defender: 8 goal involvements.

● season 2025-26 · goal involvements from full-season round data

● Chelsea created chances among the league's best three, but left them unused; in finishing among the league's worst three.

● One stretch cost the season: 6 straight defeats in March–May.

● Among the league's three weakest at finishing: 58 goals, although the chances promised 66.8.

Attack: who produced the goals and assists

	Finishing goals vs xG	Chance creation assists vs xA
Defenders	+2.7	+1.0
Midfield	−4.8	−8.5
Forwards	−4.5	+6.7

Defence, team level

Chance prevention
little danger

+0.3

Shot-stopping
conceded vs chances

−0.1

Data profile · style, character, output ●

Style of play Patient build-up: 40 passes per shot (league's 2. most). Keeps the ball: possession 58 % and 540 passes/match (league 3.). Scoring splits evenly across the halves (55 % in the second). Rotation heavy: 3.3 line-up changes/round. ● season 2025-26 · half-time split from result data · rotation from round data · style from match stats (possession, passes, offsides)

Character Recovered 6 points from losing positions (4 matches) and dropped 10 points from leads (4 matches). One-goal matches 4–8. Home and away in balance: 26 / 26 points. ● season 2025-26 · HT–FT turnarounds from results data

Output Of shots on target, 35 % went in; of those faced, 33 %. Corners 6.1 vs 4.3 per match · 89 yellows + 7 reds over the season. ● season 2025-26 · shots on target, corners and cards from results data

Player readings · 1

● João Pedro produced 72 % of the xGI of players classed as forwards in Chelsea's register (4 comparable players).

Signals established profile season 2026-27 ●

What we don't know yet

no active hypothesis

TEAM IDENTITY

Home ground

Stamford Bridge

Stamford Bridge opened on 28.4.1877 as an athletics ground; Chelsea were founded in 1905 to play there.

source: Wikipedia, Stamford Bridge

TEAM MEMORY

15.05 · 2013

Europa League title

Chelsea voittaa Eurooppa-liigan finaalin Amsterdamissa 2-1 Benficasta.

source: UEFA (uefa.com), Benfica 1-2 Chelsea, Eurooppa-liigan finaali 15.5.2013