Signals ⚽ · My team

Newcastle

SHRINE OF THE WEEK

”What is a club in any case? Not the buildings or the directors or the people who are paid to represent it. It's the noise, the passion, the feeling of belonging, the pride in your city.”

Sir Bobby Robson, from the book Newcastle: My Kind of Toon (2008)

THE SQUAD

GKHorníček

DEFMiley

DEFThiaw

DEFBotman

DEFHall

MIDN.Gonzalez

MIDJoelinton

FWDFernandez-Pardo

MIDWillock

MIDBarnes

FWDWissa

● season 2026-27 · latest formation · round 7

fitness concernformno measured deviation

Fernandez-Pardo302 min · 4/7 starts · doubtful (75 %)

J.Ramsey69 min · 0/7 starts · injured (0 %)

Livramento33 min · 0/7 starts · injured (0 %)

Bench

MIDTouréMIDJ.RamseyDEFLivramentoMIDBambaDEFSchär

NEXT CHECK

LAST MATCH

Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–1 (puoliaika 0–1) ● result: round data

Sat 17 Oct

PREVIEW IN HINDSIGHT

No preview was published before this match. The preview below was built after the match from pre-match data only (the same read would have been produced beforehand) and graded against what happened.

Watch first: Pressure vs the defence. Newcastle shoot this season 11.7 times per match (16th in the league, last season 12.9 and 8th in the league), Aston Villa: 15.8 shots conceded (league 16.). The match's shot count tells which number held. ● season 2026-27 · 6 matches before the round · last season for comparison
What happened: the pressure held: 16 shots (baseline 11.7, opponent concedes 15.8). ● round data
Then watch: Finishing vs the goalkeeper. Newcastle score this season from 14.3 percent of their shots (4th in the league, last season 10.8 and 11th in the league), Aston Villa: save percentage on shots on target 63.3 (league 16.). In the match this shows in whether the goal count matches the threat created. ●
What happened: goalkeeping and finishing beat the team: 0 goals from 1.07 expected (-1.07), 0 % of shots scored. ●
Third: Set pieces. Newcastle win this season 4.7 corners per match (9th in the league, last season 6.1 and 3rd in the league), Aston Villa: 4.3 corners conceded (league 15.). The expectation is at least 4 corners. ●
What happened: fell short of expectation: 4 corners (expected 4), 0 goals. ●
Fourth: Opponents get into the box. 63 shots against from inside the box (3rd most of 20), 107 shots in total (59 % from the box) ● season 2026-27 · from 6 match(es) · match statistics
What happened: observation repeated, 11 shots against from inside the box. ●
One more: Player pick. Anthony Elanga is the team's best in the match ratings this season: 23.7 points on average in 3 matches, top three 1 times. ● season 2026-27 · match ratings before the round
What happened: Player pick did not hold: Anthony Elanga did not play in this match (not in the match ratings, which cover everyone who played). ●

From this match: 2/5 held

Threat by half (expected goals, gold = Newcastle): shots 6/6 and 10/9 Two-half split, not a minute-by-minute curve.

Events by minute: Newcastle on top, Aston Villa below, 1 goals and 8 cards. Vertical lines at minutes 45 and 90. ● match events

Result read from round data ●. Hits and misses are logged in the track record.

This match's verdict on the Matches list →

NEXT MATCH

Crystal Palace – Newcastle

Sun 25.10. · 16:00 · ○ fixture info, as of 25.10.

This match's preview on the Matches list →

MATCH WATCHLIST

Each item is a claim, and the verdict appears beneath it after the match.

Watch first: Pressure vs the defence. Newcastle shoot this season 12.3 times per match (13th in the league, last season 12.9 and 8th in the league), Crystal Palace: 17.9 shots conceded (league 20.). The match's shot count tells which number held. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · last season for comparison
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Then watch: Finishing vs the goalkeeper. Newcastle score this season from 11.6 percent of their shots (8th in the league, last season 10.8 and 11th in the league), Crystal Palace: save percentage on shots on target 60.5 (league 17.). In the match this shows in whether the goal count matches the threat created. ●
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Third: Set pieces. Newcastle win this season 4.6 corners per match (12th in the league, last season 6.1 and 3rd in the league), Crystal Palace: 5.7 corners conceded (league 2.). The expectation is at least 5 corners. ●
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Fourth: Opponents get into the box. 74 shots against from inside the box (3rd most of 20), 122 shots in total (61 % from the box) ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
One more: Player pick. Anthony Elanga is the team's best in the match ratings this season: 23.7 points on average in 3 matches, top three 1 times. ● season 2026-27 · match ratings before the round
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Finally: Style of play. Deep line: the offside trap springs rarely (1.3/match). ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · match statistics
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.

Availability before the match

Doubtful in the registry: Anthony Elanga 75 %, Matias Fernandez-Pardo 75 %. ▷

Baseline per match from last season: upper bar Newcastle, lower Crystal Palace, vertical line the league level. ● measured 2025-26

Preview of both teams on the Matches list →

HOW TO WATCH THIS MATCH

Style of play: Scoring splits evenly across the halves (47 % in the second). ● season 2025-26 · half-by-half split from results data

Newcastle: Bruno Moura: xG-ristiriita ● season 2025-26

Vastustaja · Crystal Palace: Yeremy: xG-ristiriita ● season 2025-26

Player pick: Sandro Tonali carried the core, but fitness left question marks (4 early substitutions · 3 DNP, patchy season). ● season 2025-26

THE OPPONENT IN BRIEF

Crystal Palace-6.6 Yeremy: xG-ristiriita GI vs xGI, Yéremy Pino Santossquad-riski 1.51 core-squad workload, ● season 2025-26Muñoz (fitness concern) · Strand Larsen (fitness concern)● season 2025-26

MANAGER'S CORNER · FANTASY

Player card

Harvey Barnes

Newcastle · midfielder

Downward trend expected

Last 5 matches: 4 goals and assists from only 2.0 xGI ●

In 576 similar past cases, the scoring pace slowed for 86 % within the next 3 matches (when xGI backed the pace, 77 %) ●

xGI per round ●

Match rating 1–10 ▷ 6.6

Next matches ●CRYawayEVEhome

Compared with 105 midfielders, at least 270 min ●

xG / 90 min0.18

xA / 90 min0.12

Match rating (avg) ▷6.8

Playing time100 %

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7630 min · 7/7 starts · 1 goals, 3 assists · xGI 2.1 ● measured

▷ in 7.4 % of teams · price 6.1

Player card

Yoane Wissa

Newcastle · forward

Breakout possible

Last 5 matches: xGI 1.7, only 0 goals and assists ●

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●CRYaway

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7608 min · 7/7 starts · 1 goals, 1 assists · xGI 3.1 ● measured

▷ in 12.3 % of teams · price 6.1

Player card

Joe Willock

Newcastle · midfielder

Bench risk

Substituted off in round 7 (56 min) ●

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●CRYaway

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7397 min · 5/7 starts · 2 goals, 0 assists · xGI 1.5 ● measured

▷ in 0.6 % of teams · price 5.0

Player card

Matias Fernandez-Pardo

Newcastle · forward

Bench risk

Substituted off in round 7 (56 min) ●

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●CRYaway

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7302 min · 4/7 starts · 0 goals, 0 assists · xGI 0.8 ● measured

▷ in 0.1 % of teams · price 6.0

Every player in the league, form and risks → All players

TEAM BASELINE

Newcastle

now 12th in the table · 8 pts ●

last season 12th · 8th on merit

→railo -4

Playing identity now Newcastle defend deep. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches · match stats: possession, passes, shots, offsides

What has changed?

Squad after the summer

Left after the 2025-26 season: Sandro Tonali (2534 min, goals+assists 0+2, now Tottenham); Bruno Moura (2456 min, goals+assists 9+7, 17 % of the team's goals, now Arsenal); Anthony Gordon (1798 min, goals+assists 6+4, 11 % of the team's goals, no longer in a league squad); Kieran Trippier (1586 min, goals+assists 0+1, no longer in a league squad) and 1 more.

New starters: Horníček (7 starts, from outside the league); Nico Iglesias (5 starts, came from Man City); Dedić (4 starts, from outside the league); Matias Fernandez-Pardo (4 starts, from outside the league) and 1 more.

● season 2025-26 minutes, goals and assists · current squad and starts

The box has been reached too easily: 16 shots against from inside the box (27 in total) (Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool).

Signal hypothesis · strengthening · 7 matches

Opponents appear to get into the box too easily.

+ Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: 16 shots against from inside the box (27 in total)

− Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 6 shots against from inside the box (9 in total)

Next test Will shots conceded inside the box fall below eight?

Evidence in detail

Holds up across game states: in close periods 5.9 shots conceded from inside the box per 45 min, league 2/20 (9 periods). ● close period = margin of at most 1 goal for at least 75 % of the period's minutes · match stats by half

Last season 12.4 shots against in the match (no box split) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Other tracked hypotheses (4)

Hypothesis 2 · Discipline State · strengthening · 7 matches

The cost of indiscipline may rise.

Supports

+ Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: 5 cards, 16 fouls

+ Mon 14.9. away vs Leeds: 2 cards, 13 fouls

+ Sat 5.9. home vs Bournemouth: 2 cards, 19 fouls

+ Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: 2 cards, 9 fouls

+ Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: 6 cards, 14 fouls

Challenges

− Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 1 cards, 10 fouls

− Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: 1 cards, 4 fouls

Last season 1.7 cards and 10.2 fouls in the match ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will cards add up to suspensions, or fouls to goals conceded?

Hypothesis 3 · Box pressure State · strengthening · 3 matches

The team appears to get into the box repeatedly.

Supports

+ Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 11/19 shots from inside the box

+ Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: 9/12 shots from inside the box

+ Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: 11/16 shots from inside the box

Challenges

No counter-evidence yet.

Last season 12.9 shots in the match (no box split from last season, so the comparison is shot count) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will shots in the box stay above eight when the opponent defends deeper?

Hypothesis 4 · Threat by half State · mixed · 3 matches

The threat appears weighted towards the second half.

Supports

+ Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: own threat 0.25 → 1.17 xG, opponents 0.41 → 1.82

+ Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: own threat 0.26 → 0.49 xG, opponents 0.50 → 0.54

Challenges

− Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: own threat 1.23 → 0.64 xG, opponents 0.88 → 0.59

Last season 47 % of goals came in the second half (25 / 53) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the threat still grow from first half to second in a competitive match?

Hypothesis 5 · Defensive line Status · fading · 1 match

The defence appears to hold a high line.

Supports

No longer backed by the evidence.

Challenges

− Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: 0 offsides won

Next test Will the offside trap keep working even against a more direct opponent?

Show 60 findings

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Finishing − 2 goals from 1.42 expected (+0.58)

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Threat by half + own threat 0.25 → 1.17 xG, opponents 0.41 → 1.82

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Goalkeeper + 5 saves

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Shooting accuracy − 4/13 shots on target (31 %)

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Discipline + 5 cards, 16 fouls

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Duels − 48 % of duels won (47/97)

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Possession and duels − possession 39 %, duels 48 %

Sun 23 Aug home vs Liverpool · Own box + 16 shots against from inside the box (27 in total)

Mon 14 Sep away vs Leeds · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Mon 14 Sep away vs Leeds · Shooting accuracy − 5/7 shots on target (71 %)

Mon 14 Sep away vs Leeds · Discipline + 2 cards, 13 fouls

Mon 14 Sep away vs Leeds · Duels − 47 % of duels won (49/104)

Mon 14 Sep away vs Leeds · Possession and duels + possession 50 %, duels 47 %

Mon 14 Sep away vs Leeds · Set pieces − 5 corners, 5 conceded

Mon 14 Sep away vs Leeds · Own box + 10 shots against from inside the box (15 in total)

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Finishing + 1 goals from 1.87 expected (-0.87)

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Threat by half − own threat 1.23 → 0.64 xG, opponents 0.88 → 0.59

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Goalkeeper − 2 saves

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Shooting accuracy − 6/19 shots on target (32 %)

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Discipline − 1 cards, 10 fouls

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Duels + 54 % of duels won (44/81)

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Possession and duels − possession 67 %, duels 54 %

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Set pieces − 6 corners, 2 conceded

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Own box − 6 shots against from inside the box (9 in total)

Mon 12 Oct away vs Coventry · Box pressure + 11/19 shots from inside the box

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Finishing − 2 goals from 0.71 expected (+1.29)

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Goalkeeper + 4 saves

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Shooting accuracy + 2/8 shots on target (25 %)

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Discipline + 2 cards, 19 fouls

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Duels − 47 % of duels won (55/116)

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Possession and duels + possession 58 %, duels 47 %

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Set pieces − 4 corners, 3 conceded

Sat 5 Sep home vs Bournemouth · Own box + 9 shots against from inside the box (17 in total)

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Finishing − 2 goals from 0.75 expected (+1.25)

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Threat by half + own threat 0.26 → 0.49 xG, opponents 0.50 → 0.54

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Goalkeeper + 4 saves

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Shooting accuracy + 2/11 shots on target (18 %)

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Discipline + 2 cards, 9 fouls

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Duels + 53 % of duels won (41/78)

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Possession and duels − possession 42 %, duels 53 %

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Set pieces − 7 corners, 9 conceded

Sat 29 Aug away vs Tottenham · Own box + 10 shots against from inside the box (17 in total)

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Finishing − 2 goals from 1.44 expected (+0.56)

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Shooting accuracy − 5/12 shots on target (42 %)

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Discipline − 1 cards, 4 fouls

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Duels − 48 % of duels won (46/96)

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Possession and duels + possession 56 %, duels 48 %

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Set pieces − 4 corners, 7 conceded

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Own box + 12 shots against from inside the box (22 in total)

Sat 19 Sep home vs Hull City · Box pressure + 9/12 shots from inside the box

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Finishing + 0 goals from 1.07 expected (-1.07)

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Goalkeeper − 2 saves

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Shooting accuracy + 1/16 shots on target (6 %)

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Defensive line − 0 offsides won

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Discipline + 6 cards, 14 fouls

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Duels − 50 % of duels won (57/113)

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Possession and duels − possession 49 %, duels 50 %

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Own box + 11 shots against from inside the box (15 in total)

Sat 17 Oct home vs Aston Villa · Box pressure + 11/16 shots from inside the box

A finding is one measured item from one match. A + mark supports the pattern, a − challenges it.

Suljetut hypoteesit (6)

What is closed is not deleted: it shows what we thought and why the view changed.

Hypothesis 1 · Shooting accuracy State · closed · 7 matches

Shots don't appear to hit the target often enough.

Supports

+ Sat 5.9. home vs Bournemouth: 2/8 shots on target (25 %)

+ Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: 2/11 shots on target (18 %)

+ Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: 1/16 shots on target (6 %)

Challenges

− Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: 4/13 shots on target (31 %)

− Mon 14.9. away vs Leeds: 5/7 shots on target (71 %)

− Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 6/19 shots on target (32 %)

− Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: 5/12 shots on target (42 %)

Holds up across game states: in close periods 19 % of shots on target, league 20/20 (9 periods). ● close period = margin of at most 1 goal for at least 75 % of the period's minutes · match stats by half

Last season 36 % of shots on target (176 / 492) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the share of shots on target rise above a third?

Hypothesis 2 · Goalkeeper State · closed · 7 matches

The goalkeeper's level may prove the difference for this team.

Supports

+ Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: 5 saves

+ Sat 5.9. home vs Bournemouth: 4 saves

+ Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: 4 saves

Challenges

− Mon 14.9. away vs Leeds: 3 saves

− Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 2 saves

− Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: 3 saves

− Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: 2 saves

Last season 67 % of shots on target kept out (55 conceded / 168) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the shot-stopping level hold when shot quality changes?

Hypothesis 3 · Possession and duels State · closed · 7 matches

Possession may not be matched by duel wins.

Supports

+ Mon 14.9. away vs Leeds: possession 50 %, duels 47 %

+ Sat 5.9. home vs Bournemouth: possession 58 %, duels 47 %

+ Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: possession 56 %, duels 48 %

Challenges

− Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: possession 39 %, duels 48 %

− Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: possession 67 %, duels 54 %

− Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: possession 42 %, duels 53 %

− Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: possession 49 %, duels 50 %

Next test Will the duel balance flip when the opponent presses higher?

Hypothesis 4 · Finishing State · closed · 6 matches

Goal output may keep falling short of the chances created.

Supports

+ Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 1 goals from 1.87 expected (-0.87)

+ Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: 0 goals from 1.07 expected (-1.07)

Challenges

− Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: 2 goals from 1.42 expected (+0.58)

− Sat 5.9. home vs Bournemouth: 2 goals from 0.71 expected (+1.29)

− Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: 2 goals from 0.75 expected (+1.25)

− Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: 2 goals from 1.44 expected (+0.56)

Last season 1.4 goals and 12.9 shots in the match, 11 % of shots scored ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the goal count move closer to the expected number in the next match?

Hypothesis 5 · Duels State · closed · 7 matches

Duels appear to carry this team's game.

Supports

+ Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 54 % of duels won (44/81)

+ Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: 53 % of duels won (41/78)

Challenges

− Sun 23.8. home vs Liverpool: 48 % of duels won (47/97)

− Mon 14.9. away vs Leeds: 47 % of duels won (49/104)

− Sat 5.9. home vs Bournemouth: 47 % of duels won (55/116)

− Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: 48 % of duels won (46/96)

− Sat 17.10. home vs Aston Villa: 50 % of duels won (57/113)

Next test Will the duel-win rate stay above half even against a possession-dominant opponent?

Hypothesis 6 · Set pieces State · closed · 5 matches

Set pieces may keep coming to nothing.

Supports

No longer backed by the evidence.

Challenges

− Mon 14.9. away vs Leeds: 5 corners, 5 conceded

− Mon 12.10. away vs Coventry: 6 corners, 2 conceded

− Sat 5.9. home vs Bournemouth: 4 corners, 3 conceded

− Sat 29.8. away vs Tottenham: 7 corners, 9 conceded

− Sat 19.9. home vs Hull City: 4 corners, 7 conceded

Last season 6.1 corners in the match, 4.9 against ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will a corner or free kick produce a goal in the coming rounds?

● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics

Measured numbers for the season

Style of play · season 2026-27

Line: deep line: the offside trap sprang only 9 times (17./20) ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · offsides and shot locations

Progression: progression mid-table: 35.0 passes per shot, possession 52 % ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · passes and shots

Set pieces: in attack 32 corners (league 12./20), no headed goals yet; in defence 37 corners against (5./20), no headed goals conceded ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · corners and goal types

Second half: output weighted to the second half (4+5 goals); own end leaks late (concessions 4+6); own threat rose in the second half in 4 of 6 matches (median +0.33 xG, league +0.15); opponents' threat rose in the second half in 3 of 6 matches (median −0.10 xG, league +0.15); first substitution on average at minute 56 (covering 6/7 matches, 1 was settled by half-time) ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · goals and substitutions by minute

When leading: lead held 1/2: led at half-time 2 times, and 1 of those leads did not hold to a win (opponent xG in matches where they led 0.75 → 3.08) ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · threat by half

Game state: Leading 31 % of playing time, level 25 %, trailing 44 %. League rank 3 for time trailing, so the season numbers lean towards chasing the game. ● minutes from goal events · ○ interpretation

Threat by half, average of 7 matches (gold = Newcastle): own threat rose in the second half in 4 of 6 matches, median +0.33 xG (league +0.15). Two-half split, not a minute curve.

Last season's baseline

The baseline is the 2025-26 squad. Since then these players left: Sandro Tonali, Bruno Moura, Anthony Gordon, Kieran Trippier. ● season 2025-26 minutes · current squad

Analyst's take

Newcastle's league position and merit level landed close together

The team finished 12. The merit-level placing was 8. In April the team lost 4 matches in a row. In attack the team scored 53 goals while chance quality projected 57.9.

Analytical synthesis Dropped leads (14 points in 5 matches) and concessions weighted to the second half (62 %) are two gauges of the same phenomenon: the grip loosens late. This is not about defensive skill but about lasting; watch the timing of substitutions, not the starting setup. ○ interpretation · every number computed from season 2025-26 ●

● Newcastle settled without drama: 12. place matches 8. on merit.

● Opponents went direct against Newcastle: their accuracy fell 1.6 percentage points below their own level, top-7 level, and concessions rose 0.1.

○ Newcastle: The attack has raised its output, yet the team is still above expectation; does it correct

Attack: who produced the goals and assists

	Finishing goals vs xG	Chance creation assists vs xA
Defenders	−0.6	−3.2
Midfield	−3.3	−4.6
Forwards	+2.4	+0.5

Defence, team level

Chance prevention
little danger

+1.0

Shot-stopping
conceded vs chances

−3.8

Data profile · style, character, output ●

Style of play Watch the second balls: Newcastle played the league's 5. most direct game, and in their most direct matches expected goals against was 0.10 higher than in the least direct. Scoring splits evenly across the halves (47 % in the second). Rotation 2.8 line-up changes/round. ● measured · season 2025-26 · directness relative to opponent · half-time split from result data · rotation from round data

Character Recovered 3 points from losing positions (1 matches) and dropped 14 points from leads (5 matches). One-goal matches 8–12. Home fortress: 32 points at home, 17 away. ● season 2025-26 · HT–FT turnarounds from results data

Output Of shots on target, 30 % went in; of those faced, 33 %. Corners 6.1 vs 4.9 per match · 63 yellows + 2 reds over the season. ● season 2025-26 · shots on target, corners and cards from results data

Player readings · 1

● Nick Woltemade produced 49 % of the xGI of players classed as forwards in Newcastle's register (4 comparable players).

Signals style-of-play mechanism contract ● · established profile · set season 2026-27 ●

TEAM IDENTITY

Home ground

St James' Park

St James' Park has been Newcastle's home since 1892, with football played on the site since 1880.

source: Newcastle United FC (newcastleunited.com), History of Our Home

TEAM MEMORY

09.12 · 1892

Newcastle United founded

Newcastle East End and West End merge into Newcastle United.

source: Newcastle United (newcastleunited.com), United's Victorian start (1881-1899)