Signals ⚽ · My team

MY CLUB

Crystal Palace

THE SQUAD

GKBenitez

DEFCanvot

DEFRichards

DEFAhanor

DEFKhalaili

MIDWharton

MIDTimber

DEFMitchell

MIDKamada

MIDYeremy

FWDLarsen

● season 2026-27 · latest formation · round 7

fitness concernformno measured deviation

Timber388 min · 5/7 starts · doubtful (75 %)

Strand Larsen440 min · 5/7 starts · doubtful (75 %)

Bench

MIDGuessandMIDHughesDEFChilwellMIDGozoDEFMingueza

NEXT CHECK

LAST MATCH

Brighton – Crystal Palace 5–0 (puoliaika 3–0) ● result: round data

Sun 18 Oct

PREVIEW IN HINDSIGHT

No preview was published before this match. The preview below was built after the match from pre-match data only (the same read would have been produced beforehand) and graded against what happened.

The match was decided in minute 10, when Crystal Palace trailed by three goals (0–3). Later substitutions and numbers reflect the game state, not how the team plays. ● goal events

Watch first: Pressure vs the defence. Crystal Palace shoot this season 11.0 times per match (19th in the league, last season 11.6 and 13th in the league), Brighton: 11.7 shots conceded (league 5.). The match's shot count tells which number held. ● season 2026-27 · 6 matches before the round · last season for comparison
What happened: the defence won: 5 shots (baseline 11.0, opponent concedes 11.7). ● round data
Then watch: Finishing vs the goalkeeper. Crystal Palace score this season from 13.6 percent of their shots (5th in the league, last season 9.3 and 19th in the league), Brighton: save percentage on shots on target 77.3 (league 6.). In the match this shows in whether the goal count matches the threat created. ●
What happened: goalkeeping and finishing beat the team: 0 goals from 0.77 expected (-0.77), 0 % of shots scored. ●
Third: Set pieces. Crystal Palace win this season 2.8 corners per match (19th in the league, last season 4.2 and 17th in the league), Brighton: 5.0 corners conceded (league 6.). The expectation is at least 3 corners. ●
What happened: expectation met: 5 corners (expected 3), 0 goals. ●
Fourth: Opponents get into the box. 78 shots against from inside the box (1st most of 20), 108 shots in total (72 % from the box) ● season 2026-27 · from 6 match(es) · match statistics
What happened: observation repeated, 8 shots against from inside the box. ●
One more: The lead held to the end. The lead was kept more often than lost and the opponents' threat fell in the second half (xG in the 2nd half below the 1st) ●
What happened: observation stayed open, ei johtoa puoliajalla tässä ottelussa. ○
Finally: Player pick. Daichi Kamada is the team's best in the match ratings this season: 22.8 points on average in 6 matches, top three 5 times. ● season 2026-27 · match ratings before the round
What happened: Player pick held: Daichi Kamada was among his team's best in the match ratings (3/16). Match score 7, season average before the match 22.8. ●

From this match: 3/5 held

Threat by half (expected goals, gold = Brighton): shots 8/3 and 9/2 Two-half split, not a minute-by-minute curve.

Events by minute: Brighton on top, Crystal Palace below, 5 goals and 3 cards. Vertical lines at minutes 45 and 90. ● match events

Result read from round data ●. Hits and misses are logged in the track record.

This match's verdict on the Matches list →

NEXT MATCH

Crystal Palace – Newcastle

Sun 25.10. · 16:00 · ○ fixture info, as of 25.10.

This match's preview on the Matches list →

MATCH WATCHLIST

Each item is a claim, and the verdict appears beneath it after the match.

Watch first: Pressure vs the defence. Crystal Palace shoot this season 10.1 times per match (20th in the league, last season 11.6 and 13th in the league), Newcastle: 17.4 shots conceded (league 19.). The match's shot count tells which number held. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · last season for comparison
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Then watch: Finishing vs the goalkeeper. Crystal Palace score this season from 12.7 percent of their shots (5th in the league, last season 9.3 and 19th in the league), Newcastle: save percentage on shots on target 62.2 (league 13.). In the match this shows in whether the goal count matches the threat created. ●
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Third: Set pieces. Crystal Palace win this season 3.1 corners per match (19th in the league, last season 4.2 and 17th in the league), Newcastle: 5.3 corners conceded (league 4.). The expectation is at least 3 corners. ●
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Fourth: The whole system at the bottom end. Possession 43 % (league 17./20), own output 1.35 xG and 1.96 xG given to opponents (3./20 most): 4 metrics at the bottom end at once ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
One more: Goalkeeper level on show. 26 saves (league 3./20) against 1.96 xG ●
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
Finally: Player pick. Daichi Kamada is the team's best in the match ratings this season: 20.6 points on average in 7 matches, top three 6 times. ● season 2026-27 · match ratings before the round
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.
And: Style of play. Patient build-up: 40 passes per shot (league's 3. most). ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches before the round · match statistics
The verdict will be recorded here after the match.

Availability before the match

Out in the registry: Takehiro Tomiyasu. ▷

Doubtful in the registry: Dean Henderson 50 %, Strand Larsen 75 %, Quinten Timber 75 %. ▷

Baseline per match from last season: upper bar Crystal Palace, lower Newcastle, vertical line the league level. ● measured 2025-26

Preview of both teams on the Matches list →

HOW TO WATCH THIS MATCH

Style of play: Scoring splits evenly across the halves (51 % in the second). ● season 2025-26 · half-by-half split from results data

Crystal Palace: Yeremy: xG-ristiriita ● season 2025-26

Vastustaja · Newcastle: Bruno Moura: xG-ristiriita ● season 2025-26

Vastustajan rytmi: Newcastle have conceded 62 % of their goals in the second half; the pressure lasts to the end. ● season 2025-26 · half-by-half split from results data

Player pick: Jean-Philippe Mateta: involvements exceeded output; the rise has backing. ● season 2025-26

THE OPPONENT IN BRIEF

Newcastle+5.5 Bruno Moura: xG-ristiriita GI vs xGI, Bruno Guimarães Rodriguez Mourasquad-riski 1.64 core-squad workload, ● season 2025-26Nick Pope (fitness concern) · Sandro Tonali (fitness concern)● season 2025-26

MANAGER'S CORNER · FANTASY

Player card

Daichi Kamada

Crystal Palace · midfielder

Downward trend expected

Last 5 matches: 4 goals and assists from only 0.9 xGI ●

In 576 similar past cases, the scoring pace slowed for 86 % within the next 3 matches (when xGI backed the pace, 77 %) ●

xGI per round ●

Match rating 1–10 ▷ 7.2

Next matches ●NEWhomeTOTaway

Compared with 105 midfielders, at least 270 min ●

xG / 90 min0.12

xA / 90 min0.06

Match rating (avg) ▷7.0

Playing time97 %

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7610 min · 7/7 starts · 1 goals, 3 assists · xGI 1.2 ● measured

▷ in 0.7 % of teams · price 5.0

Player card

Strand Larsen

Crystal Palace · forward

On fire

xGI per 90 min: 0.61 in the last 3 matches, 0.17 before ●

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●NEWhome

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7440 min · 5/7 starts · 1 goals, 1 assists · xGI 1.9 ● measured

▷ in 0.6 % of teams · price 6.0

Player card

Yeremy

Crystal Palace · midfielder

Bench risk

Substituted off in round 7 (61 min) ●

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●NEWhome

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7449 min · 6/7 starts · 1 goals, 2 assists · xGI 1.6 ● measured

▷ in 0.3 % of teams · price 5.5

Player card

Quinten Timber

Crystal Palace · midfielder

Bench risk

Substituted off in round 7 (45 min) ●

xGI per round ●

Next matches ●NEWhome

Season 2026-27, rounds 1–7388 min · 5/7 starts · 0 goals, 1 assists · xGI 0.5 ● measured

▷ in 0.0 % of teams · price 5.0

Every player in the league, form and risks → All players

TEAM BASELINE

Crystal Palace

now 16th in the table · 7 pts ●

last season 15th · 7th on merit

→railo -8

Playing identity now Crystal Palace play without the ball and strike in transition; build their attacks patiently. ● season 2026-27 · 7 matches · match stats: possession, passes, shots, offsides

What has changed?

Squad after the summer

Left after the 2025-26 season: Maxence Lacroix (3085 min, maalit+syötöt 1+2, 2 % joukkueen maaleista, nyt Chelsea); Muñoz (2400 min, maalit+syötöt 4+4, 10 % joukkueen maaleista, nyt Nott'm Forest); Brennan Johnson (1710 min, maalit+syötöt 2+1, 5 % joukkueen maaleista, nyt Everton).

New starters: Anan Khalaili (6 starts, from outside the league); Quinten Timber (5 starts, from outside the league); Takehiro Tomiyasu (2 starts, from outside the league); Honest Ahanor (2 starts, from outside the league) and 2 more.

● season 2025-26 minutes, goals and assists · current squad and starts

The box has been reached too easily: 9 shots against from inside the box (13 in total) (Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds).

Signal hypothesis · strengthening · 7 matches

Opponents appear to get into the box too easily.

+ Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: 9 shots against from inside the box (13 in total)

Next test Will shots conceded inside the box fall below eight?

Evidence in detail

Holds up across game states: in close periods 7.0 shots conceded from inside the box per 45 min, league 1/20 (9 periods). ● close period = margin of at most 1 goal for at least 75 % of the period's minutes · match stats by half

Last season 11.7 shots against in the match (no box split) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Other tracked hypotheses (8)

Hypothesis 2 · Goalkeeper State · strengthening · 7 matches

The goalkeeper's level may prove the difference for this team.

Supports

+ Sun 18.10. away vs Brighton: 5 saves

+ Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: 4 saves

+ Fri 28.8. home vs Manchester City: 4 saves

+ Sat 5.9. away vs Fulham: 5 saves

Challenges

− Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: 2 saves

− Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: 3 saves

− Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: 3 saves

Last season 69 % of shots on target kept out (51 conceded / 162) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the shot-stopping level hold when shot quality changes?

Hypothesis 3 · Box pressure State · strengthening · 3 matches

The team appears to get into the box repeatedly.

Supports

+ Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: 11/13 shots from inside the box

+ Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: 8/11 shots from inside the box

+ Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: 9/11 shots from inside the box

Challenges

No counter-evidence yet.

Last season 11.6 shots in the match (no box split from last season, so the comparison is shot count) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will shots in the box stay above eight when the opponent defends deeper?

Hypothesis 4 · Finishing State · mixed · 6 matches

Goal output may keep falling short of the chances created.

Supports

+ Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: 0 goals from 1.06 expected (-1.06)

+ Sun 18.10. away vs Brighton: 0 goals from 0.77 expected (-0.77)

+ Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: 0 goals from 2.04 expected (-2.04)

Challenges

− Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: 3 goals from 2.42 expected (+0.58)

− Sat 5.9. away vs Fulham: 3 goals from 1.97 expected (+1.03)

− Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: 2 goals from 0.62 expected (+1.38)

Last season 1.1 goals and 11.6 shots in the match, 9 % of shots scored ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the goal count move closer to the expected number in the next match?

Hypothesis 5 · Discipline State · mixed · 6 matches

The cost of indiscipline may rise.

Supports

+ Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: 3 cards, 12 fouls

+ Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: 2 cards, 11 fouls

+ Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: 2 cards, 6 fouls

Challenges

− Sun 18.10. away vs Brighton: 1 cards, 11 fouls

− Fri 28.8. home vs Manchester City: 1 cards, 8 fouls

− Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: 1 cards, 15 fouls

Last season 2.0 cards and 10.5 fouls in the match ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will cards add up to suspensions, or fouls to goals conceded?

Hypothesis 6 · The whole system at the bottom end State · new · 7 matches

It looks like one metric rises first.

Supports

+ vs : Possession 43 % (league 18./20), own output 1.35 xG and 1.96 xG given to opponents (3./20 most): 4 metrics at the bottom end at once

Challenges

No counter-evidence yet.

Holds up across game states: in close periods 1.05 xG against per 45 min, league 1/20 (9 periods). ● close period = margin of at most 1 goal for at least 75 % of the period's minutes · match stats by half

Next test Does this hold in the coming rounds: a systemic concern only clears with several metrics moving; we track which climbs first, possession or their own output?

Hypothesis 7 · Threat by half State · declining · 3 matches

The threat appears weighted towards the second half.

Supports

+ Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: own threat 0.18 → 0.88 xG, opponents 0.54 → 0.77

Challenges

− Fri 28.8. home vs Manchester City: own threat 0.30 → 0.27 xG, opponents 0.85 → 0.61

− Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: own threat 1.65 → 0.39 xG, opponents 0.31 → 0.85

Last season 51 % of goals came in the second half (21 / 41) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the threat still grow from first half to second in a competitive match?

Hypothesis 8 · Set pieces State · declining · 3 matches

Set pieces may keep coming to nothing.

Supports

+ Sun 18.10. away vs Brighton: 5 corners, 8 conceded

Challenges

− Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: 5 corners, 8 conceded

− Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: 6 corners, 3 conceded

Last season 4.2 corners in the match, 5.2 against ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will a corner or free kick produce a goal in the coming rounds?

Hypothesis 9 · Defensive line Status · fading · 1 match

The defence appears to hold a high line.

Supports

No longer backed by the evidence.

Challenges

− Fri 28.8. home vs Manchester City: 0 offsides won

Next test Will the offside trap keep working even against a more direct opponent?

Show 57 findings

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Finishing + 0 goals from 1.06 expected (-1.06)

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Threat by half + own threat 0.18 → 0.88 xG, opponents 0.54 → 0.77

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Goalkeeper − 2 saves

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Shooting accuracy − 4/12 shots on target (33 %)

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Discipline + 3 cards, 12 fouls

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Duels − 44 % of duels won (44/101)

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Possession and duels − possession 49 %, duels 44 %

Sun 20 Sep away vs Leeds · Own box + 9 shots against from inside the box (13 in total)

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Finishing + 0 goals from 0.77 expected (-0.77)

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Goalkeeper + 5 saves

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Shooting accuracy + 1/5 shots on target (20 %)

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Discipline − 1 cards, 11 fouls

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Duels − 49 % of duels won (42/85)

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Possession and duels − possession 43 %, duels 49 %

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Set pieces + 5 corners, 8 conceded

Sun 18 Oct away vs Brighton · Own box + 8 shots against from inside the box (17 in total)

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Finishing − 3 goals from 2.42 expected (+0.58)

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Goalkeeper + 4 saves

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Shooting accuracy − 7/13 shots on target (54 %)

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Discipline + 2 cards, 11 fouls

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Duels − 51 % of duels won (50/98)

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Possession and duels − possession 43 %, duels 51 %

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Set pieces − 5 corners, 8 conceded

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Own box + 16 shots against from inside the box (24 in total)

Sun 11 Oct home vs Nottingham Forest · Box pressure + 11/13 shots from inside the box

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Threat by half − own threat 0.30 → 0.27 xG, opponents 0.85 → 0.61

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Goalkeeper + 4 saves

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Shooting accuracy + 1/9 shots on target (11 %)

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Defensive line − 0 offsides won

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Discipline − 1 cards, 8 fouls

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Duels − 51 % of duels won (55/107)

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Possession and duels − possession 28 %, duels 51 %

Fri 28 Aug home vs Manchester City · Own box + 12 shots against from inside the box (18 in total)

Sat 5 Sep away vs Fulham · Finishing − 3 goals from 1.97 expected (+1.03)

Sat 5 Sep away vs Fulham · Goalkeeper + 5 saves

Sat 5 Sep away vs Fulham · Shooting accuracy − 5/10 shots on target (50 %)

Sat 5 Sep away vs Fulham · Duels + 55 % of duels won (44/80)

Sat 5 Sep away vs Fulham · Possession and duels − possession 36 %, duels 55 %

Sat 5 Sep away vs Fulham · Own box + 22 shots against from inside the box (25 in total)

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Finishing + 0 goals from 2.04 expected (-2.04)

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Threat by half − own threat 1.65 → 0.39 xG, opponents 0.31 → 0.85

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Shooting accuracy − 4/11 shots on target (36 %)

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Discipline − 1 cards, 15 fouls

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Duels − 46 % of duels won (46/99)

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Possession and duels + possession 58 %, duels 46 %

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Own box + 11 shots against from inside the box (16 in total)

Sat 22 Aug away vs Everton · Box pressure + 8/11 shots from inside the box

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Finishing − 2 goals from 0.62 expected (+1.38)

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Goalkeeper − 3 saves

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Shooting accuracy − 4/11 shots on target (36 %)

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Discipline + 2 cards, 6 fouls

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Duels + 56 % of duels won (50/89)

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Possession and duels − possession 47 %, duels 56 %

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Set pieces − 6 corners, 3 conceded

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Own box + 8 shots against from inside the box (12 in total)

Sat 12 Sep home vs Ipswich · Box pressure + 9/11 shots from inside the box

A finding is one measured item from one match. A + mark supports the pattern, a − challenges it.

Suljetut hypoteesit (3)

What is closed is not deleted: it shows what we thought and why the view changed.

Hypothesis 1 · Duels State · closed · 7 matches

Duels appear to carry this team's game.

Supports

+ Sat 5.9. away vs Fulham: 55 % of duels won (44/80)

+ Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: 56 % of duels won (50/89)

Challenges

− Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: 44 % of duels won (44/101)

− Sun 18.10. away vs Brighton: 49 % of duels won (42/85)

− Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: 51 % of duels won (50/98)

− Fri 28.8. home vs Manchester City: 51 % of duels won (55/107)

− Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: 46 % of duels won (46/99)

Next test Will the duel-win rate stay above half even against a possession-dominant opponent?

Hypothesis 2 · Shooting accuracy State · closed · 7 matches

Shots don't appear to hit the target often enough.

Supports

+ Sun 18.10. away vs Brighton: 1/5 shots on target (20 %)

+ Fri 28.8. home vs Manchester City: 1/9 shots on target (11 %)

Challenges

− Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: 4/12 shots on target (33 %)

− Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: 7/13 shots on target (54 %)

− Sat 5.9. away vs Fulham: 5/10 shots on target (50 %)

− Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: 4/11 shots on target (36 %)

− Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: 4/11 shots on target (36 %)

Last season 32 % of shots on target (141 / 442) ● last season 2025-26 · 38 matches

Next test Will the share of shots on target rise above a third?

Hypothesis 3 · Possession and duels State · closed · 7 matches

Possession may not be matched by duel wins.

Supports

+ Sat 22.8. away vs Everton: possession 58 %, duels 46 %

Challenges

− Sun 20.9. away vs Leeds: possession 49 %, duels 44 %

− Sun 18.10. away vs Brighton: possession 43 %, duels 49 %

− Sun 11.10. home vs Nottingham Forest: possession 43 %, duels 51 %

− Fri 28.8. home vs Manchester City: possession 28 %, duels 51 %

− Sat 5.9. away vs Fulham: possession 36 %, duels 55 %

− Sat 12.9. home vs Ipswich: possession 47 %, duels 56 %

Next test Will the duel balance flip when the opponent presses higher?

● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics

Measured numbers for the season

Style of play · season 2026-27

Line: line mid-level: 9 offsides drawn ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · offsides and shot locations

Progression: cannot get shots off: 39.6 passes per shot (league's 3./20 most) without controlling the ball, possession 43 % ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · passes and shots

Set pieces: in attack 22 corners (league 19./20), no headed goals yet; in defence 40 corners against (3./20), no headed goals conceded ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · corners and goal types

Second half: output weighted to the second half (4+5 goals); own end tightens late (concessions 7+5); own threat rose in the second half in 3 of 6 matches (median +0.09 xG, league +0.15); opponents' threat rose in the second half in 2 of 6 matches (median −0.11 xG, league +0.15); first substitution on average at minute 52 (forced reaction) (covering 6/7 matches, 1 settled by half-time) ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · goals and substitutions by minute

When leading: killed the game: led at half-time once, the opponent's threat fell in the second half and the lead held to a win (opponent xG vs Nott'm Forest 2.18 → 0.80) ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · threat by half

Game state: Leading 11 % of playing time, level 40 %, trailing 49 %. League rank 1 for time trailing, so the season numbers lean towards chasing the game. ● minutes from goal events · ○ interpretation

Threat by half, average of 7 matches (gold = Crystal Palace): own threat rose in the second half in 3 of 6 matches, median +0.09 xG (league +0.15). Two-half split, not a minute curve.

Tracking · season 2026-27

The whole system at the bottom end: Possession 43 % (league 18./20), own output 1.35 xG and 1.96 xG given to opponents (3./20 most): 4 metrics at the bottom end at once ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics
We track whether any metric climbs out of the tail: a systemic concern only clears with several metrics moving.

Goalkeeper level on show: 26 saves (league 3./20) against 1.96 xG ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics
We track whether the save level holds as shot quality changes: one match cannot separate skill from luck.

Opponents get into the box: 86 shots against from inside the box (1st most of 20), 125 shots in total (69 % from the box) ● season 2026-27 · from 7 match(es) · match statistics
We track whether the number of shots conceded in the box narrows: leaking the box predicts goals conceded over a longer sample.

One round is not a trend, so each line says what we track next.

Data limit: we see how many shots there are and where they come from (inside or outside the box), plus the game state. We do not see the route the attack took (through the middle or down the flanks) or where possession was lost.

Last season's baseline

The baseline is the 2025-26 squad. Since then these players left: Maxence Lacroix, Muñoz, Brennan Johnson. ● season 2025-26 minutes · current squad

Analyst's take

Crystal Palace sijoittui 15:nneksi, vaikka ansiotaso vastasi 7. sijaa.

The gap showed in finishing too: 20.1 fewer goals than expected.

Insights

Muñoz produced exceptionally for a defender: 8 goal involvements.

● season 2025-26 · goal involvements from full-season round data

● Crystal Palace lost their season in front of goal: chances at top-7 level, but the league's least efficient finishing.

● Direct play is a relief for this team: when opponents skipped the build-up, concessions dropped by −0.4 per match.

○ Crystal Palace strengthened the defence; does it fix last season's -3.6 deficit?

Attack: who produced the goals and assists

	Finishing goals vs xG	Chance creation assists vs xA
Defenders	−2.0	−1.7
Midfield	−11.5	−9.4
Forwards	−3.5	−3.7

Defence, team level

Chance prevention
little danger

−0.5

Shot-stopping
conceded vs chances

+1.7

Data profile · style, character, output ●

Style of play Watch which way Crystal Palace open the game: they do not lean on the long ball, and when the game went direct, expected goals against was 0.41 lower. Scoring splits evenly across the halves (51 % in the second). Rotation 2.2 line-up changes/round. ● measured · season 2025-26 · directness relative to opponent · half-time split from result data · rotation from round data

Character Recovered 4 points from losing positions (2 matches) and dropped 13 points from leads (5 matches). One-goal matches 7–8. Home and away in balance: 21 / 24 points. ● season 2025-26 · HT–FT turnarounds from results data

Output Of shots on target, 29 % went in; of those faced, 31 %. Corners 4.2 vs 5.2 per match · 74 yellows + 2 reds over the season. ● season 2025-26 · shots on target, corners and cards from results data

Player readings · 1

● Jean-Philippe Mateta produced 63 % of the xGI of players classed as forwards in Crystal Palace's register (5 comparable players).

Signals style-of-play mechanism contract ● · established profile · set season 2026-27 ●

TEAM IDENTITY

Home ground

Selhurst Park

Selhurst Park opened on 30.8.1924, and Palace played their first match there against Sheffield Wednesday.

source: Crystal Palace FC (cpfc.co.uk), Selhurst Park formally opened 1924

TEAM MEMORY

1905

Crystal Palace founded

Crystal Palace are founded at the Crystal Palace exhibition grounds in Sydenham. The club move to Selhurst Park only in 1924.

source: Crystal Palace FC (cpfc.co.uk), Our history